Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 7.531714 8.691960 9.931976 11.351451 12.926866 14.617227 16.563437
2025-03-16 5.569120 7.084268 8.825208 10.955815 13.474341 16.337719 19.819429
2025-03-23 4.584563 6.367225 8.550990 11.380646 14.904762 19.102482 24.429755
2025-03-30 3.691292 5.586372 8.054930 11.428266 15.832801 21.299556 28.498613
2025-04-06 2.840242 4.696562 7.269671 10.974395 16.035420 22.563459 31.456703
2025-04-13 2.173030 3.931060 6.523214 10.448406 16.043935 23.522105 34.027531
2025-04-20 1.893446 3.689361 6.473484 10.860888 17.324859 26.199735 38.957279
2025-04-27 1.759144 3.652084 6.712892 11.697266 19.239153 29.819061 45.305834
2025-05-04 1.600060 3.541334 6.814582 12.318402 20.862371 33.095194 51.309261
2025-05-11 1.366364 3.252155 6.584344 12.387557 21.648901 35.200551 55.744566
2025-05-18 1.114324 2.876336 6.153776 12.080744 21.819495 36.396149 58.907358
2025-05-25 0.916868 2.566429 5.793022 11.842697 22.060235 37.679363 62.215906
2025-06-01 0.776383 2.353024 5.589999 11.869380 22.748946 39.704599 66.756971
2025-06-08 0.638706 2.112712 5.301221 11.713094 23.120839 41.256183 70.651243
2025-06-15 0.591241 2.081273 5.424237 12.314647 24.795879 44.903567 77.839633
2025-06-22 0.510607 1.944038 5.308722 12.455575 25.684188 47.337010 83.248280
2025-06-29 0.401577 1.695647 4.915750 12.020568 25.530357 48.080448 86.053540
2025-07-06 0.307179 1.454961 4.496978 11.483647 25.145258 48.410900 88.199667
2025-07-13 0.281048 1.424128 4.565439 11.945130 26.601181 51.837641 95.363532
2025-07-20 0.278738 1.475190 4.839732 12.856926 28.934013 56.807667 105.133779
2025-07-27 0.264721 1.480406 4.999028 13.532403 30.850019 61.127717 113.958072
2025-08-03 0.227297 1.385128 4.887524 13.610608 31.632143 63.536537 119.733715
2025-08-10 0.181222 1.234768 4.605140 13.282114 31.606252 64.544002 123.229301